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Red0
5386.2
15975.1
8321.6
Blue21
13985.0
16125.9
5196.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161102030405060021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
Unranked
6.21.3
9.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
519
Unranked
6.30.8
7.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
5.11.3
2.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1612
Unranked
5.90.8
0.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
832
Unranked
1.61.3
3.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1398
Unranked
5.00.8
3.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End