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Red59
13799.5
15885.8
116712.2
Blue1
16113.0
11021.1
13457.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511020304050591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1167
Unranked
12.23.7
6.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1345
Unranked
7.00.9
7.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
Unranked
9.53.7
5.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1611
Unranked
3.00.9
1.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1588
Unranked
5.83.7
2.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1102
Unranked
1.10.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End