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Red26
14365.7
16833.9
346.9
Blue20
112712.5
12616.9
15503.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10140203040502620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
6.91.3
4.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1127
Unranked
12.50.5
5.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1436
Unranked
5.71.3
4.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1261
Unranked
6.90.5
4.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1683
Unranked
3.91.3
2.03.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1550
Unranked
3.20.5
3.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End