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Red10
112712.5
16113.0
118310.0
Blue51
137616.3
14365.7
15975.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18210103040506070801051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1127
Unranked
12.50.7
8.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1376
Unranked
16.32.6
11.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1183
Unranked
10.00.7
9.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1436
Unranked
5.72.6
6.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1611
Unranked
3.00.7
0.3-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1597
Unranked
5.12.6
2.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End