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Red3
15885.8
2815.1
8321.6
Blue6
14150.4
12633.4
13799.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1415010203040506036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1588
Unranked
5.80.8
5.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1379
Unranked
9.50.7
9.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
281
Unranked
5.10.8
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1263
Unranked
3.40.7
3.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
832
Unranked
1.60.8
1.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1415
Unranked
0.40.7
2.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End