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Red8
8358.5
27912.5
3028.8
Blue26
102311.9
32211.7
3088.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3229010204050607080826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
12.50.5
13.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1023
Unranked
11.90.1
11.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
Unranked
8.80.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
322
Unranked
11.70.1
11.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
835
Unranked
8.50.5
9.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
308
Unranked
8.20.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End