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Red23
6614.4
6720.4
689.0
Blue8
856.3
50312.2
54810.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4728020406080100238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
20.40.5
20.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
503
Unranked
12.20.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
66
Unranked
14.40.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
548
Unranked
10.40.5
10.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
68
Unranked
9.00.5
9.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
85
Unranked
6.30.5
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End