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Red10
856.3
50312.2
54810.4
Blue23
3268.3
28010.4
4515.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322010405060701023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
12.20.5
13.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
280
Unranked
10.40.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
Unranked
10.40.5
11.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
326
Unranked
8.30.0
8.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
85
Unranked
6.30.5
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
451
Unranked
5.20.0
5.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End