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Red41
856.3
50312.2
54810.4
Blue32
3268.3
28010.4
4515.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122010405060704132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
Unranked
12.20.2
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
280
Unranked
10.40.2
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
Unranked
10.40.2
10.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
326
Unranked
8.30.2
8.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
85
Unranked
6.30.2
6.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
451
Unranked
5.20.2
5.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End