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Red0
14476.4
32211.7
27912.5
Blue13
1417.4
57311.4
11892.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2710020406080100013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
12.52.1
11.29.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
573
Unranked
11.40.1
2.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
Unranked
11.72.1
8.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
141
Unranked
7.40.1
5.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1447
Unranked
6.42.1
5.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1189
Unranked
2.20.1
3.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End