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Red23
3028.8
8302.2
90412.9
Blue9
12564.1
14476.4
15288.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912010304050239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
12.90.4
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1528
Unranked
8.10.3
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
Unranked
8.80.4
9.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1447
Unranked
6.40.3
4.03.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
830
Unranked
2.20.4
3.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1256
Unranked
4.10.3
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End