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Red50
6720.4
4065.3
689.0
Blue0
8358.5
14476.4
856.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3227010204050607080500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
20.41.4
19.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
835
Unranked
8.52.0
11.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
9.01.4
7.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1447
Unranked
6.42.2
7.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
406
Unranked
5.31.4
3.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
85
Unranked
6.32.0
9.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End