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Red35
8153.4
6614.4
11404.9
Blue32
15288.1
50312.2
15492.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1922010304050603532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
14.41.1
13.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
503
Unranked
12.20.7
12.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1140
Unranked
4.91.2
3.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1528
Unranked
8.10.7
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
Unranked
3.41.2
2.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1549
Unranked
2.80.7
2.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End