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Red20
19.5
57311.4
12549.7
Blue23
15968.8
9109.0
14476.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332004060801002023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
11.40.3
11.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
910
Unranked
9.00.0
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1254
Unranked
9.70.3
10.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1596
Unranked
8.80.0
7.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1
Unranked
9.50.3
9.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1447
Unranked
6.40.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End