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Red32
15968.8
9109.0
14476.4
Blue34
102311.9
32211.7
3088.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2230010405060703234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
9.00.2
8.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1023
Unranked
11.90.1
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
Unranked
8.80.2
8.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
322
Unranked
11.70.1
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1447
Unranked
6.40.2
6.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
308
Unranked
8.20.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End