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Red51
64810.6
70612.6
26917.6
Blue43
6510.3
87713.5
4616.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721060801005143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
Unranked
17.61.2
16.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
877
Unranked
13.51.6
12.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
Unranked
12.61.2
10.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
65
Unranked
10.31.0
7.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
648
Unranked
10.61.2
8.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
461
Unranked
6.41.6
2.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End