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Red23
7415.6
1652-0.6
924.9
Blue21
7543.8
9301.6
11636.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1713030405060702321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
Unranked
15.60.5
14.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1163
Unranked
6.30.6
5.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
92
Unranked
4.90.5
2.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
754
Unranked
3.80.6
5.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1652
Unranked
-0.60.5
-0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
930
Unranked
1.60.6
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End