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Red41
49414.4
30211.0
16778.1
Blue17
12271.6
4712.9
4535.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341801040506070804117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
14.40.5
14.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
47
Unranked
12.90.1
13.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
Unranked
11.00.5
11.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
453
Unranked
5.50.1
3.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1677
Unranked
8.10.8
6.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1227
Unranked
1.60.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End