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Red34
6718.4
90413.9
24517.0
Blue51
32213.8
9312.5
3317.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801001201403451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
18.41.2
21.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
33
Unranked
17.90.5
16.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
Unranked
17.01.2
20.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
322
Unranked
13.80.5
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
Unranked
13.91.2
16.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
93
Unranked
12.50.9
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End