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Red45
146615.3
157710.3
121815.1
Blue46
11562.9
2213.8
71011.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4224060801001204546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
Unranked
15.30.3
15.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
22
Unranked
13.81.0
13.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
710
Unranked
11.81.0
11.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1577
Unranked
10.30.4
9.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1156
Unranked
2.91.0
1.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End