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Red5
1254.8
140212.7
77213.5
Blue87
1110.7
7428.6
115310.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34420206080100120587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
Unranked
13.51.5
14.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
74
Unranked
28.62.3
26.028.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1402
Unranked
12.71.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
11
Unranked
10.72.3
8.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
125
Unranked
4.82.5
6.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1153
Unranked
10.33.9
6.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End