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Red31
29312.9
11562.2
11449.7
Blue43
16888.6
3039.2
3759.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12180304050603143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
12.91.5
4.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
375
Unranked
9.22.1
6.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1144
Unranked
9.71.5
5.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
303
Unranked
9.22.1
8.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1156
Unranked
2.21.5
3.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1688
Unranked
8.63.3
8.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End