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Red42
16895.5
5621.4
162612.6
Blue19
23715.8
1028.9
16724.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318010304050604219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
21.42.3
7.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
237
Unranked
15.80.1
7.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
Unranked
12.66.7
12.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
102
Unranked
8.90.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1689
Unranked
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1672
Unranked
4.41.1
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End