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Qual 522005 New Jersey Regional
Red55
7514.2
13665.6
23715.8
Blue1
3039.2
6944.5
16171.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2316010304050607080551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
Unranked
15.82.7
8.2→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
303
Unranked
9.21.3
8.8→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
75
Unranked
14.22.7
12.2→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.7
694
Unranked
4.51.3
7.3→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1366
Unranked
5.62.7
1.8→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
1617
Unranked
1.21.3
0.2→-1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—