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Red40
29312.9
16895.5
22411.3
Blue20
6135.5
12282.6
11524.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2760204060804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
Unranked
12.91.3
9.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
613
Unranked
5.51.0
4.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
Unranked
11.31.3
9.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1152
Unranked
4.91.0
2.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1689
Unranked
5.51.3
5.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1228
Unranked
2.61.0
1.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End