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Qual 542005 New Jersey Regional
Red22
16888.6
8960.2
27214.4
Blue24
3693.8
11874.4
1028.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21804060802224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
14.40.2
15.1→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 5.5
102
Unranked
8.91.2
6.2→7.4
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Teleop—
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Second
1688
Unranked
8.60.2
6.1→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 4.2
1187
Unranked
4.41.2
1.2→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
896
Unranked
0.20.2
-1.5→-1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.6
369
Unranked
3.81.2
2.4→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—