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Red36
15560.3
154812.1
47313.5
Blue7
15440.6
9613.5
9897.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25110203040506070367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
473
Unranked
13.50.6
12.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
989
Unranked
7.50.3
7.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1548
Unranked
12.10.8
11.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
961
Unranked
3.50.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1556
Unranked
0.30.8
-0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1544
Unranked
0.60.4
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End