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Red59
103115.4
11596.5
14574.6
Blue8
16130.5
9901.9
49611.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191601030405060598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1031
Unranked
15.42.5
12.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
496
Unranked
11.30.6
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1159
Unranked
6.52.5
4.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
990
Unranked
1.90.5
2.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1457
Unranked
4.62.7
1.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1613
Unranked
0.50.6
1.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End