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Red18
9660.9
111.9
22917.8
Blue16
5414.4
112613.8
12702.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310102040506070801816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
17.81.1
14.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1126
Unranked
13.81.2
17.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1
Unranked
11.90.6
12.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
541
Unranked
4.41.2
8.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
966
Unranked
0.91.1
3.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1270
Unranked
2.40.7
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End