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Red48
1205.1
1666.7
27917.9
Blue40
127410.6
37816.1
140313.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060801004840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
17.90.9
15.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
378
Unranked
16.10.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
Unranked
6.71.5
9.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1403
Unranked
13.30.1
14.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
Unranked
5.11.5
5.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1274
Unranked
10.60.2
11.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End