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Red13
14864.6
124110.9
9133.8
Blue10
11417.9
7763.9
15141.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21804060801310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
10.90.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1141
Unranked
7.90.0
6.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1486
Unranked
4.60.5
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
776
Unranked
3.90.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
913
Unranked
3.80.5
2.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1514
Unranked
1.10.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End