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Red23
13103.9
16205.6
13307.7
Blue28
85410.7
14828.1
15474.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132003040506070802328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1330
Unranked
7.70.8
6.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
854
Unranked
10.70.4
10.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1620
Unranked
5.60.8
4.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1482
Unranked
8.10.7
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1310
Unranked
3.90.8
2.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1547
Unranked
4.20.7
3.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End