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Red33
7715.5
124110.9
636.2
Blue5
15474.2
14191.9
8201.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18803040506070335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
10.90.8
10.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1547
Unranked
4.20.4
3.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
6.20.8
3.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1419
Unranked
1.90.4
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
Unranked
5.51.4
3.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
820
Unranked
1.30.4
3.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End