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Red22
15587.4
10535.7
12215.9
Blue5
90710.4
9190.7
13922.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19703040506070225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1558
Unranked
7.40.2
6.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
907
Unranked
10.40.3
7.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1221
Unranked
5.90.3
4.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1392
Unranked
2.10.3
2.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1053
Unranked
5.70.3
6.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
919
Unranked
0.70.3
-1.0-1.3
Auto
Teleop
End