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Red2
16340.3
12434.9
1289.9
Blue29
84610.3
1172.1
3959.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17220406080100229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
9.91.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
846
Unranked
10.30.6
10.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
Unranked
4.91.3
5.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
395
Unranked
9.40.6
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1634
Unranked
0.31.3
2.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
117
Unranked
2.10.6
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End