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Red0
2872.1
3985.1
3578.8
Blue45
3063.5
36517.3
2918.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622010304050607080045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
8.81.4
6.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
365
Unranked
17.31.9
11.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
398
Unranked
5.11.4
5.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
291
Unranked
8.51.9
6.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
287
Unranked
2.11.4
4.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
306
Unranked
3.51.9
3.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End