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Red51
17919.8
16184.4
28112.9
Blue39
5824.7
31218.4
10287.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27290102040506070805139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
Unranked
19.81.2
15.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
312
Unranked
18.40.5
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
281
Unranked
12.91.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1028
Unranked
7.00.9
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1618
Unranked
4.42.0
3.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
582
Unranked
4.70.9
6.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End