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Red26
15714.2
16505.9
3019.5
Blue17
13023.4
3426.0
8046.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27140102040506070802617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
14.20.0
13.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
804
Unranked
6.30.1
6.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
301
Unranked
9.50.0
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
342
Unranked
6.00.1
5.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1650
Unranked
5.90.0
4.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1302
Unranked
3.40.1
3.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End