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Red34
17434.5
99911.9
149214.4
Blue54
46813.2
27123.8
9229.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2344060801003454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
Unranked
14.40.5
12.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
271
Unranked
23.80.6
21.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
11.90.7
7.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
468
Unranked
13.20.6
9.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
4.50.4
5.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
922
Unranked
9.50.8
9.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End