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Red41
40112.9
149214.4
3867.5
Blue36
7512.6
52214.2
13812.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344102060801004136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
Unranked
14.40.3
14.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
522
Unranked
14.20.2
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
12.90.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
75
Unranked
12.60.2
12.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
386
Unranked
7.50.3
8.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
138
Unranked
12.30.2
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End