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Red25
18808.5
22614.6
27123.8
Blue54
19121.8
3088.2
181614.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523902060801001201401602554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
23.81.3
24.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
191
Unranked
21.80.7
20.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
Unranked
14.61.3
15.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1816
Unranked
14.40.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1880
Unranked
8.51.3
10.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
308
Unranked
8.20.7
7.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End