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Red10
149213.2
13247.7
18282.4
Blue18
29411.5
19175.0
3917.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21210103040501018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
Unranked
13.20.9
5.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
39
Unranked
17.712.0
17.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1324
Unranked
7.70.9
9.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
294
Unranked
11.50.2
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1828
Unranked
2.42.6
2.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1917
Unranked
5.00.7
5.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End