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Red40
98017.3
8484.2
107013.8
Blue16
16825.0
17022.6
172212.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35170103040506070804016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
17.30.5
17.518.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1722
Unranked
12.50.3
6.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1070
Unranked
13.80.4
9.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1682
Unranked
5.00.3
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
848
Unranked
4.20.6
6.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1702
Unranked
2.60.3
5.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End