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Red59
9389.9
15913.1
177714.8
Blue12
12455.7
180212.6
155210.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31330102040506070805912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1777
Unranked
14.82.0
13.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1802
Unranked
12.61.5
14.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
13.12.0
11.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1552
Unranked
10.71.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
938
Unranked
9.92.0
6.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1245
Unranked
5.71.5
7.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End