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Red38
13777.2
14104.7
93711.3
Blue62
11907.0
186111.5
66218.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732010405060703862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
937
Unranked
11.31.4
9.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
662
Unranked
18.62.3
15.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1377
Unranked
7.21.4
6.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1861
Unranked
11.52.3
9.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1410
Unranked
4.71.4
3.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1190
Unranked
7.02.3
4.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End