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Red58
118712.2
22220.2
113913.1
Blue3
16164.9
15396.9
98014.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38280206080100583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
Unranked
20.21.5
17.218.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
980
Unranked
14.31.3
17.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1139
Unranked
13.11.4
10.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1539
Unranked
6.91.7
6.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1187
Unranked
12.21.5
8.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
1616
Unranked
4.91.9
4.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End