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Red3
5404.4
102421.9
108916.1
Blue98
65010.8
16612.3
46941.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406102080100120398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
21.92.0
24.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
469
Unranked
41.62.0
38.540.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1089
Unranked
16.12.8
15.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
166
Unranked
12.32.7
8.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
540
Unranked
4.42.8
2.7-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
650
Unranked
10.82.0
11.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End