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Red38
4577.1
164914.9
16814.0
Blue26
187212.1
18895.7
9457.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323010203040503826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
Unranked
14.91.2
8.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1872
Unranked
12.10.3
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
168
Unranked
14.01.2
6.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
945
Unranked
7.60.3
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
457
Unranked
7.11.2
7.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1889
Unranked
5.70.3
4.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End