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Red32
71016.3
6653.7
13197.5
Blue34
159212.2
152311.2
3129.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273101020405060703234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
710
Unranked
16.30.4
10.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1592
Unranked
12.20.3
10.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1319
Unranked
7.50.4
10.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1523
Unranked
11.20.3
7.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
665
Unranked
3.70.4
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
312
Unranked
9.30.3
12.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End