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Red3
18411.6
6114.9
18751.0
Blue9
17442.9
1085.4
15579.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121010304050607039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
Unranked
14.91.5
12.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1557
Unranked
9.41.0
7.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1841
Unranked
1.61.5
4.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
108
Unranked
5.41.0
9.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1875
Unranked
1.01.5
4.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1744
Unranked
2.91.0
3.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End